Forecasting Tornado Path Length

Forecasting Tornado Path Length

Mean Parameter Values

0-1 km Bulk Shear

0-1 km SRH

0-3 km SRH

0-6 km Bulk Shear

0-8 km Bulk Shear

BRNSHR

8 km SRW

5 km Wind Speed

Storm Motion

MLCAPE

LI

Dewpoint Depression

500 mb Height Fall

> 25 Miles

15 m s-1

261 m2 s-2

375 m2 s-2

31 m s-1

36 m s-1

275 m2 s-2

18 m s-1

31 m s-1

20 m s-1

1922 J kg-1

-5.5 C

8 C

-92 m

< 25 Miles

10 m s-1

140 m2 s-2

284 m2 s-2

26 m s-1

27 m s-1

141 m2 s-2

14 m s-1

20 m s-1

12 m s-1

2077 J kg-1

-5.8 C

11 C

-19 m

Charts

Greater than 25 miles

5/4/2003 (86 mi.)

11/11/2002 (72.6 mi.)

4/2/2006 (70.3 mi.)

5/10/2003 (69.2 mi.)

3/13/2006 (66 mi.)

5/23/2004 (54 mi.)

4/8/1999 (53.5 mi.)

2/25/2001 (52 mi.)

5/8/2003 (45 mi.)

11/15/2005 (44 mi.)

1/3/2000 (43.2 mi.)

4/24/2002 (40.5 mi.)

4/23/2000 (37.2 mi.)

5/3/1999 (37 mi.)

4/18/2002 (34 mi.)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Less than 25 miles

6/10/2003 (23 mi.)

5/8/2002 (19.6 mi.)

5/31/2003 (12.8 mi.)

6/6/1999 (11.5 mi.)

5/2/1999 (10 mi.)

6/4/1999 (10 mi.)

6/9/2005 (9.5 mi.)

5/12/2002 (7 mi.)

8/26/2004 (7 mi.)

5/16/1999 (5 mi.)

6/13/2004 (2 mi.)

6/22/2003 (2 mi.)

6/25/2000 (1.5 mi.)

5/26/2000 (1 mi.)

6/27/1999 (0.5 mi.)

Surface (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)

Radar (N/A)